Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Finding The Right Buyers For Ultra Luxury Condos


Lately, many of the luxury-condo towers located in Manhattan are coming equipped with super amenities like those found in Miami’s ultra luxury condos. Such amenities include plunge pools, ice skating rinks and private elevators. The presence of valets, concierges and spas are now viewed as standard for luxury condos. One example is the luxury tower at 15 Central Park West, completed just before the global recession set in. The building enjoys views of Central Park and the Hudson River, and offers its residents a fancy restaurant where a chef can rustle up a four-course custom menu for diners or deliver a romantic dinner directly to a couple’s apartment. As if that were not enough, this luxury condo building boasts a 14,000 square foot gym, a sky lit 75-foot swimming pool, a billiard room, a spa, a kids’ playroom, staff quarters and a wine cellar.

Developers have divided properties in the luxury market into three sub-groups depending on price per unit square foot. These include “luxury” properties ($2,300 to $3,300), “super luxury” properties ($3,300 to $5000) and “ultra luxury” properties priced at $5000 and above. Super luxury and ultra luxury condos emerged with the recent trend of including super amenities in residential towers. Such amenities found in these towers do not exist in your average apartment. They include basketball courts, swimming pools, children’s playrooms, libraries, catering kitchens, lounges and guest rooms with fire places, yoga studios, gyms, spinning rooms and even hamams. Recently, the hamam, or Turkish bath, has become part of the amenity package, and it is seen by the super rich as standard for a home.

Other examples of luxury properties with super amenities include a replica of the 19th century Cast Iron House in TriBeCa which was redesigned into 13 exquisite white condos. The building offers a plunge pool, a deluge bath and a Turkish-style hamam. There is a new tower under construction which will offer an “ice room” instead of a plunge pool. The “ice room” is equipped with a machine that produces snow which you can apply on your body and an adjourning relaxation room. The swimming pool at One57 has a view of Carnegie Hall and past performances at the hall are piped into the water such that you can listen to it while swimming. Most of the new super tall towers have private garages with covered gated driveways.

Amenities such as yoga studios, performance rooms, Turkish-style hamams and even pet wash rooms found in other newly built luxury condos can entice prospective buyers to empty their wallets. Also, the availability of a sommelier, a valet and a concierge can serve as a window dressing for the sale of these ultra luxury condos. This type of perk can be removed, of course, should there be a downturn in the luxury real estate market.

Interestingly, while Chinese buyers are not troubled by the prices of these ultra luxury condos, their European counterparts will be conscious of the monthly cost of the condos. Thus, they will not purchase these properties if they are too expensive. So developers who are adding these super amenities should ensure that they are targeting the right buyer. For instance, Indians are only allowed to invest a limited amount of money in foreign countries. As a result of this limitation, it is the norm for Indian families to pool their resources in a bid to invest in Manhattan properties. Despite the amount they will spend on the purchase of a condo, they will ensure that they get their money’s worth. Usually, Indian investors purchase properties with at least three or four bedrooms.

Conversely, Chinese investors are interested in luxury properties as a store for their wealth. They are after the profit the luxury properties will generate when they are resold. Chinese buyers are the right buyers for ultra luxury condos with super amenities fit for royalty. These buyers frequently inquire about available ultra luxury condos whenever they are in Manhattan. They are ready to buy these properties as soon as they hit the real estate market.

Billionaires’ row refers to a stretch of super tall towers built on and around 57th Street. These skyscrapers were built to meet the demands of wealthy Chinese and Russian buyers. These foreign investors stormed the New York luxury market in search of second homes that will serve as a store for their wealth. One57 was the first skyscraper built on billionaires’ row and it contributed immensely to the trend toward ultra luxury homes. One57 is a super tall building with 90 stories above ground. It was regarded as the tallest residential tower in New York when it was opened in 2014, and is a sight to behold with its ridged sides resembling a cascading waterfall. A year later, nearby 432 Park Avenue became the tallest building with up to 100 stories.


Lately, many investors have become scared of further investments in luxury condos as a result of weakened Asian currencies, the plunge in oil prices and the U.S presidential race. The demand for luxury properties has slowed down, which resulted in a glut of the luxury condos and a cut in the purchasing power of the foreign investors. This slowdown has created problems for condo developers, as they may have to wait for prices to rise before selling new units. Advertising super amenities seems to be one possible solution to this problem.

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Thursday, April 28, 2016

The Effect of Increasing Local Wealth On New York Real Estate


It is no secret that luxury real estate in Manhattan has gotten astronomically expensive in the last several years. In the past, the high cost was attributed to a flood of money from foreign investors, but recently the story has changed. Findings suggest that the role and importance placed on foreign investors has been overstated. The actual force behind real estate sales can be attributed to local domestic deals and purchases, a majority of which can be traced to New York City residents.

Recent information regarding the income of New York City residents shows the impact of homemade millionaires as their incomes and numbers have grown. There has been an increasing number of New Yorkers found to earn about one million dollars or more per year. From 2013 records, about 21,764 taxpayers in this city earned one million dollars and above, giving about a 47 percent increase from the 14,795 recorded in 2009. This group of millionaires has seen a 48.6 percent bump in their incomes to 96 billion dollars over the past 5 years. Tax return data also shows that close to 45 percent of New York millionaires earn 2 million dollars or more per year, and that about 1,315 of them earn 10 million dollars or more in income.

There are a number of the factors leading to New Yorkers’ income increase, but chief among them are the 2013 changes in the federal tax law, which led to a dramatic increase in the number of rich New Yorkers. One obvious indicator of this is the significant increase in the city’s overall income tax collection, which has seen an 11 percent increase by the end of its 2015 (June) fiscal year.


The figures show that we New Yorkers are the major factor causing the increase in the cost of high-end real estate rather than those foreigner investors. The higher prices are now directly linked to New Yorkers themselves, many of whom are making millions of dollars per year. Foreign investors should get ready because the pace is now being set by New Yorkers.

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Luxury Real Estate Succumbs to the Law of Supply and Demand


The number of luxury apartments in New York City has seen a skyrocketing rise recently. For instance, there are almost 300 new apartments costing about $5000 per square foot located around a seven-block stretch of 57th Street that are either currently up for sale or will be very soon, most likely in the next 24 months.

Data on luxury real estate in 2013 shows that the volume of sales was about 55 transactions for the year. In the year 2015, however, data showed that the sales of luxury real estate closed at a lower rate of 47 transactions for the year - down by 8 transactions from just two years earlier.

Developers and brokers are expecting the number of transactions for this year to be even lower. This they believe is due to the slow growth of China’s economy, coupled with the falling prices for oil and other market commodities, causing ultra-wealthy investors to become more cautious about spending. This drop in demand is leading to a glut in the luxury market as prices for land, apartments, storefronts and hotel rooms have gotten too high. The result has been a sudden slowdown in the luxury market.

The dangers and risks of focusing solely on the super-rich have become apparent. Some developers have begun cutting prices while others are looking into dividing up larger units and selling them off as smaller apartments. Also, recent plans by one developer to convert a hotel into a luxury residential tower have been shelved.


The effects of the pursuit of oversized profits are already beginning to show. Retailers are beginning to take a step back as landlords around Madison Avenue have increased rents up to $2000 per square foot. The cost of occupancy is now through the roof, making profits more difficult to achieve for retailers. Some storefronts are may become vacant as occupants search for cheaper real estate elsewhere.

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Monday, April 25, 2016

A Downward Trend for Luxury Assets In New York


The year 2015 was a banner year for the ultra-wealthy. It was a year in which the rich set records for their luxury real estate investments and high dividends. For instance, a Manhattan penthouse was sold last year for a record $100 million, while a Picasso was auctioned for $179 million. With the start of the new year however, the situation seems to have changed dramatically. On the heels of record prices set the previous year has come a surprise reversal, where values of assets that appreciated in the just previous year have dropped, and we are now experiencing a downward trend. This has resulted in various price reductions, several auction deals going unsold and a growing inventory of unsold high end real estate.
There are a number of factors contributing to the sudden decline in the demand. Some of these include: the slowing Chinese economy, the prospect of increased interest rates in the US and the collapsing price of oil and other essential commodities. These factors are enough to make the high-spending ultra-rich from China, Russia and Brazil much more cautious.
The change has led some luxury real estate sellers in Manhattan to slash their prices. Despite several cuts and reductions, properties have been left unsold. Those that bought luxury real estate with the intention of flipping for higher prices this year are likely to be disappointed, as these investors have missed the peak of the market. This is evident in the sale of an apartment that was bought for 20.3 million dollars last year which is now being sold for a loss of 2.5 million dollars this year. While this situation illustrates New York’s present real estate market, there are similar trends in other cities of the world, especially in London which has experienced a notable decline in luxury properties sales.
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Friday, April 22, 2016

Aspirational Pricing: A Major Factor Slowing the Luxury Real Estate Market


A lot of people have attributed the sluggishness of the New York City luxury real estate market to the principles of supply and demand, with abundant supply outpacing increasingly limited demand. But there may be other factors contributing to the recent slowdown in the luxury sector of the market. These additional factors include over-hyped prices by developers, unrealistic expectations by investors and smaller Wall Street bonuses.

The luxury real estate market in Manhattan experienced seven consecutive months of decline in price after a peak in the middle of 2015. As a result of slowing sales, the median time of properties on the market was extended to about 131 days. There is still the belief by most people that the slow pace of real estate market is due to excess supply, which does indeed seem to be the case. But contributing to this excess supply are the over-inflated prices at which properties are being listed. These lofty prices are drawing more supply into the market, as owners will be more tempted to try and sell due to the lure of huge potential profits. This aspirational pricing model is creating excess supply for which there is insufficient corresponding demand.

Developers and investors have benefitted from rising prices in recent years to derive huge profits. But lately they have been struggling to sustain this level of success. At the same time, demand has been affected by a variety of factors including unfavorable economic conditions abroad. For properties and other assets to be sold off in a reasonable amount of time, the pricing needs to be set according to demand. An increase in the supply of luxury housing combined with reduced demand has resulted in the slowing of Manhattan real estate sales. More realistic pricing is the surest way to revive sales in the luxury segment of the market.


Another factor that some claim is contributing to the real estate sluggishness is the reduction in the average bonuses given to Wall Street bankers. There was about a 9 percent reduction in these bonuses in 2015. The smaller bonuses are due to the decline in profits on Wall Street last year, the lowest since 2012. While this decline is accepted as a factor affecting the drop in luxury real estate sales in the city, New York City real estate is still one of the safest havens for investors. It is entirely likely that as prices in the luxury segment come down to more realistic levels, demand for these properties will revive.

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