Thursday, April 14, 2016

The Condo Market and the Co-op Market in NYC


Recent data culled from the sales of top luxury residential properties in Manhattan pegs the average cost of homes sold between the months of January and March 2016 at a little greater than two million dollars ($2 million). This price is despite signs of a slowdown currently under way in the housing market’s top strata. But prices of high end real estate have jumped about 18.5%, which has happened despite a supply glut of New York City luxury apartments. Some reasons for these trends in the industry are postulated below.

One possible explanation for the increases is a very large number of luxury sales that have been in the contract process during the last 18 months, including some of the most expensive new buildings. Most of these properties closed in the first quarter of 2016 thereby pushing average prices to new heights. The increase was led by the condominium market whose average price rose 33.9% compared to the former year to a whopping $2.9 million average sale price.

This was in contrast to average prices in the co-op market. The average price of apartments in the co-op market was said to have fallen by about 12.3%. There were no newly developed buildings sold, so most of the sales were resales. The reason for the low sales numbers in the co-op market is due to the low amount of inventory on the market. The supply of buildings in this market is said to be almost constantly at a ridiculously low level, thus affecting sales. All of the action seems to be on the condo side of the market these days.

A second reason for the drop in the sales of co-ops has been attributed to the rising interest of developers, investors and buyers alike in the condo market. Marketing and sales efforts seem to be mostly directed at the condo market lately. Despite this, evidence tends to suggest an evolving slowdown in the New York City luxury condo market. The supply of high end condos in most major cities including New York, has been said to be in excess, and so there has been a glut in supply with no proportionate increase in demand.


Reasons for the lack of demand is in part due to the recent global economic uncertainty which has slowed the growth of foreign buyers, most notably those from Russia and China. The uncertainty of the U.S. presidential election is also said to be one of the major reasons for the glut of high end real estate, as some possible outcomes of the U.S. presidential election may not be favorable to certain foreign buyers.

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