Thursday, April 14, 2016

The Condo Market and the Co-op Market in NYC


Recent data culled from the sales of top luxury residential properties in Manhattan pegs the average cost of homes sold between the months of January and March 2016 at a little greater than two million dollars ($2 million). This price is despite signs of a slowdown currently under way in the housing market’s top strata. But prices of high end real estate have jumped about 18.5%, which has happened despite a supply glut of New York City luxury apartments. Some reasons for these trends in the industry are postulated below.

One possible explanation for the increases is a very large number of luxury sales that have been in the contract process during the last 18 months, including some of the most expensive new buildings. Most of these properties closed in the first quarter of 2016 thereby pushing average prices to new heights. The increase was led by the condominium market whose average price rose 33.9% compared to the former year to a whopping $2.9 million average sale price.

This was in contrast to average prices in the co-op market. The average price of apartments in the co-op market was said to have fallen by about 12.3%. There were no newly developed buildings sold, so most of the sales were resales. The reason for the low sales numbers in the co-op market is due to the low amount of inventory on the market. The supply of buildings in this market is said to be almost constantly at a ridiculously low level, thus affecting sales. All of the action seems to be on the condo side of the market these days.

A second reason for the drop in the sales of co-ops has been attributed to the rising interest of developers, investors and buyers alike in the condo market. Marketing and sales efforts seem to be mostly directed at the condo market lately. Despite this, evidence tends to suggest an evolving slowdown in the New York City luxury condo market. The supply of high end condos in most major cities including New York, has been said to be in excess, and so there has been a glut in supply with no proportionate increase in demand.


Reasons for the lack of demand is in part due to the recent global economic uncertainty which has slowed the growth of foreign buyers, most notably those from Russia and China. The uncertainty of the U.S. presidential election is also said to be one of the major reasons for the glut of high end real estate, as some possible outcomes of the U.S. presidential election may not be favorable to certain foreign buyers.

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Wednesday, April 13, 2016

Luxury Real Estate Market Is Being Affected By Current Supply Glut


Recently there has been a growing number of luxury apartments on the market in New York City. A record number of 300 luxury apartments selling for upwards of $5,000 per square foot are currently on the market or will be in the next 24 months. At the same time, there are only so many highly wealthy individuals that show any interest in buying these properties. This is creating a downward trend in apartment sales within that price range.

The year 2014 was a peak year for developers of high end real estate, as about 55 units of these apartments were sold. The same cannot be said for the year 2015, as there was a drop in the number of luxury apartments sold. Sales data showed that about 47 luxury real estate transactions were successfully completed in that year. This was a bit of a let-down from the previous year.

Now it seems as though fresh trouble is brewing, and the worst case scenario may be just beginning for developers. This is due to the slow economic growth of the home countries of top foreign buyers. Such countries include China, Russia and other emerging countries. With the trouble in their home economies, these top buyers may become less inclined to spend as much on real estate then they once used to.

Still, some suggest that the glut of New York luxury real estate may not be due to world economies at all. What could be the cause of the glut may simply be the fact that some buyers have left the market due to a sense that the time for buying these luxury properties has passed.

Either way, these new happenings have left developers of high end real estate groping for a lifeline. Some New York City developers have recently started to reduce prices, while others are dividing their choicest properties into smaller units and selling them off at cheaper rates. Even so, the properties of a few developers on the Upper East Side who defaulted on their loans will now be sold off at auction.


Other developers with plans to turn their properties into high end condos are now shelving these plans completely as they can see the evident glut. Still, there is no indication that the prices of these luxury properties will go up anytime soon. The slowdown in the purchasing of luxury real estate may last for quite some time.

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Monday, April 11, 2016

New York City: A Base For Seasonal Migrations


Ultra-wealthy real estate investors in New York have been described as having quite an appetite for homes. Their real estate holdings often revolve around four major markets: New York (a-pied-a-terre), the Hamptons (a beach house), Aspen (a ski villa) and Miami (winter condo). With homes in four (or more) locations, it’s hard to identify any one of them as a “second” home. This group of people have gone beyond the search for full-time homes or residences, and instead are opting for a collection of homes along a circuit of grand events.

Today’s rich investors are migratory creatures moving between the places where people play polo and attend other exclusive events. And you can bet they have property at each destination even while, in a sense, they live in none of them. They are propelled to migrate with the sun, the VIPs’ calendar of annual events or the seasons.

The changes in the population of multimillionaires in these destinations are striking. There are noticeable changes as each month goes by. A practical example is New York’s millionaires. Their peak population period is often in June with about 32,500 individuals who are worth above 10 million dollars. February, which is known to be a month of low population for deca-millionaires, drops to about 11,700. This is in contrast to Miami’s estimated population of deca-millionaires which increases in December to over 5,000, and drops in June to 1,000. Despite the consistent sunny weather in Los Angeles, its population has also been volatile as there is usually an increase in June (over 11,000) and a drop in February to 5,000. This drop results from the migration of the rich to various ski resorts and tropical locations.

The wealthy of the world are gradually coming here to New York because it is usually the first option for dining, culture, shopping adventures and one of the best places for wealthy parents of school-aged children. The circuit of movement for the rich begins in the fall in New York, Miami in winter, Aspen for skiing, New York for spring and then the Hamptons from July to August. New York is home base for all of these seasonal tours.

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Friday, April 8, 2016

The State of London’s High-End Market Driving Investors To New York


New Yorkers love to compare their insane real estate market to that of San Francisco just for the sake of feeling better. But lately they are taking it to a whole new level – New York versus London. There is no better time to compare both markets and make comparisons between them than now. In terms of population, London has 8.6 million people, while Manhattan has 8.49 million people. In terms of the geographical size of the cities, London occupies about 606 square miles, while New York occupies 305 square miles. That is to say that New York City is half the size of London, but approximately same in population. So who is in the best position to state in clear terms how things really compare? Someone that is familiar with both cities.
A certain New York broker specializing in luxury townhouses who is also a broker in London states that the high-end real estate in London is twice as costly as in New York. Additionally, he has made some observations after analyzing eight prime neighborhoods in both London and New York. He compared the prices, the condition of the properties, what type of properties they are, and their sizes. Considering the price per foot square, New York is cheaper, while on the other hand, luxury apartments tend to be larger in New York than what could be found in London. Still comparing the overall average price for luxury homes in Manhattan and London in their hottest neighborhoods, prices in Manhattan are still cheaper than in London.  
It is welcome news for New York investors that the high price of London real estate is driving people to invest here in New York. While we may have been concerned that the expensive state of New York real estate was making it difficult for interested buyers to invest here, along comes the new revelation that London’s high-end market is even higher. Get ready for would-be London investors here in Manhattan!
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Monday, April 4, 2016

Recession Forces New York Co-Ops To Accept Foreign Buyers


A co-op, or housing co-operative, refers to a group of people or a company which acts as a legal entity and owns real estate with one or more residential buildings. This real estate is collectively owned by the members of the co-op, each of whom has the right to occupy a particular apartment but does not exclusively own it. Membership of a co-op is obtained by purchasing shares in the co-operative. This type of housing tenure allows members to pool their resources together to leverage their purchasing power. Thus, the cost of the services associated with the ownership of the building per member is reduced.

The members of the co-op select who may live in or join the co-operative. This differs from condominiums, where the owners of the condos do not have the right to decide who buys other condo units. In a condo situation, a purchaser obtains the right to occupy a particular suite in the building through title transfer. With a co-op however, the cost of maintaining, repairing and replacing the housing structures or even renovation is shared among the members. Also, the building mortgage can be obtained by the co-operative instead of the individual owners.

In New York City, the housing co-operatives are referred to as corporations. These co-ops are notorious for being very restrictive, and in the past they have not accepted foreign buyers as members. They increase the marketability of their estates by including gymnasiums and by renovating the buildings. However, with the sale of a $70 million co-op to a Chinese buyer at the Sherry-Netherland, many New York co-ops are now considering foreign buyers. Though foreign buyers are now beginning to be accepted, the co-ops do screen prospective buyers to ensure that they have valuable assets in the United States. With the purchaser’s asset in this country, the co-op’s money will not be lost in a foreign country if the purchaser fails to pay up.

High Interest Rate

Interest rates can influence the purchasing power of an individual in the real estate market. An increase in the interest rate decreases the demand for real estate property due to the higher cost of obtaining a mortgage. At the same time, the prices of real estate properties will be reduced as the market is over supplied. As a result of the increased interest rate, the demand for co­-op apartments has decreased leading to a reduction in the price of the apartments. This situation seems to have occurred in the sale of the Sherry–Netherland co-op at $70 million, considering that the initial listed price was $95 million. Conversely, at reduced interest rate, the cost of obtaining mortgage is lower.

International Investors

Buying a co-op does not mean purchasing an apartment in a co-op building, rather it means buying shares of stock in the corporation that owns the co-op building. The investor is entitled, through the proprietary lease given by the co-op board, to live in a particular apartment in the building. Recently, the co-ops are relaxing their rules about accepting wealthy foreign investors as these investors tend to be able to pay higher prices than domestic buyers. Also, the co-ops require a cash down payment up to 80% of the purchase price which may prevent many domestic buyers from investing in a co-op. However, wealthy international buyers can pay all cash and many of them believe that a high equity building is a better opportunity for investment. Moreover, co-ops buildings are cheaper than condos and constitute up to 75% of New York residential buildings.

Currently, co-ops compete with condos in New York real estate market. The sale of condos rose to 5,150 sales while that of co-ops was at 6,805 sales in 2015. This confirms that the wealthy investors are after the condo towers. With the increasing sales of the condos in the New York real estate market, the co-ops boards are quietly relaxing their restrictive rules against foreign buyers to compete with condos. However, only time will tell if this trend will continue.

Financing Purchase

In 2014, the French Ambassador to the U.S was rejected by the co-op board of River House due to his inability to pay cash for the co-op. However, the same co-op board later allowed financing just like a condo. Other co-ops boards such as 898 Park Avenue, 1021 Park Avenue and 1185 Park Avenue have followed suit. Previously, financing restrictions were used to keep away unqualified investors. This restriction had reduced buyers’ interest in the co-ops market as the buyers are required to make a cash payment. Thus, the demand is reduced, and in turn, the price of co-ops is reduced. Co-ops boards that restricted financing before are now considering it, as some even allow up to 50% financing.

Buyer’s Identity

Some co-ops boards have allowed domestic buyers to acquire co-ops through trusts and even have allowed some to purchase co-ops through partnerships and limited liability corporations. Such transactions were allowed only if conditions such as occupancy and transfer restrictions are put in place. However, those that are now accepting foreign investors still ensure that the buyer has substantial assets in U.S, as it shows whether the buyer can afford the apartment and the maintenance fees if accepted.

The co-ops boards adopted these changes to prevent the market from crumbling or from being overtaken by condos. With the influx of 65,000 condo units in Manhattan, the co-ops have no option but to make adjustments and compete on the same level. Some shareholders may decide to put the co-op buildings up for sale or even convert them to condos with the tenants facing eviction.

Luxury condos are elegant and attractive but they are more costly than the co-op buildings. With the recent fallout between the dollar and foreign economies, more foreign buyers will not be able to invest in condos. However, investing in co-ops will be cheaper for the foreign investor and even promises possible returns which cannot be realized with a condo.

Please visit us at: www.RubenPerezNYC.com